Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 1.963761 2.058628 2.159381 2.275045 2.405054 2.547779 2.717889
2025-07-13 1.873921 1.999281 2.137843 2.304334 2.501790 2.732433 3.028638
2025-07-20 1.828545 1.977859 2.148241 2.360892 2.625224 2.952304 3.404976
2025-07-27 1.766323 1.929173 2.119295 2.363361 2.677952 3.085896 3.688475
2025-08-03 1.715265 1.888575 2.094836 2.366145 2.727372 3.216738 3.987942
2025-08-10 1.644030 1.818824 2.029259 2.310203 2.691930 3.223942 4.100281
2025-08-17 1.599514 1.779006 1.997899 2.295115 2.708580 3.304704 4.342669
2025-08-24 1.561126 1.744564 1.970875 2.282940 2.726716 3.387785 4.605556
2025-08-31 1.527989 1.714962 1.948107 2.274267 2.747925 3.476548 4.899678
2025-09-07 1.506865 1.699381 1.942301 2.287717 2.801626 3.623036 5.351092
2025-09-14 1.457374 1.645673 1.884031 2.224458 2.734329 3.558121 5.329528
2025-09-21 1.433581 1.624248 1.867632 2.219327 2.755561 3.647844 5.689592
2025-09-28 1.395311 1.583871 1.825704 2.177492 2.719419 3.636963 5.818745
2025-10-05 1.385045 1.579518 1.831860 2.205092 2.795284 3.840967 6.609966
2025-10-12 1.383890 1.586876 1.853951 2.257028 2.915557 4.153823 8.001363
2025-10-19 1.366152 1.571460 1.843763 2.259615 2.952444 4.304735 9.015711
2025-10-26 1.349544 1.556966 1.834172 2.262343 2.989473 4.463339 10.311717
2025-11-02 1.316763 1.519786 1.791408 2.211635 2.927256 4.385904 10.294946
2025-11-09 1.297229 1.500098 1.772852 2.197968 2.931175 4.465009 11.348150
2025-11-16 1.279483 1.482375 1.756494 2.186917 2.938896 4.554987 12.718244
2025-11-23 1.263558 1.466727 1.742585 2.179036 2.951775 4.660741 14.620987
2025-11-30 1.254474 1.460156 1.741413 2.191301 3.003538 4.879505 19.140939
2025-12-07 1.225152 1.425113 1.698091 2.133608 2.916253 4.705013 17.369948